Sanders’ Math Problem Got Worse Last Night


Last night Hillary Clinton’s big win over Bernie Sanders puts the Vermont senator in a very tough spot in his battle to beat the former Secretary of State for the Democratic presidential nomination. Math is Sanders biggest problem with five more Clinton friendly states coming up a week from now.

As of this morning, Clinton was able to grow her lead to 277, picking up another 33 delegates. There were 247 delegates up for grabs in New York.  At this point she finished the New York primary with 1,428 pledged delegates, compared to 1,151 for Sanders.

CLINTON 1

Meanwhile, when you factor in the superdelegates — party leaders who can support any candidate — Clinton’s total grows to 1,897 and Sanders’ to 1,182, according to the AP.

On the Democratic side a candidate needs 2,383 to secure the Democratic nomination, putting Clinton about 80 percent of the way there. Sanders is only halfway there, with about 56 percent of unpledged delegates having already been awarded.

At this point there are 1,400 pledged delegates still in play, Clinton would only need to win 35 percent of them to secure the nomination, even if she didn’t gain another superdelegate. So, she was upbeat as she took the stage last night.

“The race for the Democratic nomination is in the homestretch, and victory is in sight,” Clinton said in New York City on Tuesday night.

Louisiana Rally with Bernie Sanders

Here is where the math makes things even tougher for Sanders, has a near impossible path to 2,383. He would need to win about 1,200 of the remaining pledged delegates if he didn’t gain another superdelegate, or more than 85 percent, to secure the nomination before the Democratic National Convention in July.

Sanders has targeted the nearly 200 superdelegates still up for grabs, and at the moment there is no indication that the Vermont senator is getting any love from those un committed delegates.

Last night on MSNBC they mapped out the path left for Sanders to win the nomination.

“I’m not saying this is impossible for Bernie Sanders, but when you are more than 200 pledged delegates behind at this point in the campaign, you have zero margin for error,” said MSNBC political anchor Steve Kornacki.

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Jim Williams is the Washington Bureau Chief, Digital Director as well as the Director of Special Projects for Genesis Communications. He is starting his third year as part of the team. This is Williams 40th year in the media business, and in that time he has served in a number of capacities. He is a seven time Emmy Award winning television producer, director, writer and executive. He has developed four regional sports networks, directed over 2,000 live sporting events including basketball, football, baseball hockey, soccer and even polo to name a few sports. Major events include three Olympic Games, two World Cups, two World Series, six NBA Playoffs, four Stanley Cup Playoffs, four NCAA Men’s National Basketball Championship Tournaments (March Madness), two Super Bowl and over a dozen college bowl games. On the entertainment side Williams was involved s and directed over 500 concerts for Showtime, Pay Per View and MTV Networks.