Depending on where you are in the state of Wisconsin depends on which candidate on the Democratic ballot. Bernie Sanders is attracting thousands of people in Wisconsin’s liberal capital city for the second time in less than four days.
Meanwhile, in Milwaukee and throughout the northern part of the state is Hillary Clinton Country, where she has a strong and loyal following.
Sanders campaign stopped in Madison yesterday talking about a new Wisconsin poll showing him in a close race with Clinton ahead of the state’s Tuesday primary. As he has across Wisconsin in the past week, Sanders is railing against Republican Gov. Scott Walker and new voting laws that opponents say make it harder for Democrats to cast ballots.
The Marquette University Law School poll shows Sanders with 49 percent compared to 45 percent for Clinton among likely Democratic voters. The poll of conducted between March 24 and Monday has a 6.3 percentage point margin of error.
Looking at the cross tabs inside the poll there were some very interesting findings:
77 percent think Clinton is the most likely nominee, with 19 percent saying Sanders is most likely to win the nomination. Prior to Iowa and New Hampshire voting, 60 percent said Clinton and 33 percent said Sanders was most likely to win the Democratic nomination.
In the Democratic primary, among likely voters, Sanders’ lead is strongest in Madison and the north and west, with other areas closely competitive. In the City of Milwaukee, Clinton leads 51‑42 among all registered voters but Sanders has the edge 47-46 among likely voters, an indication of the potential effect of turnout on the results.
Sanders has been hammering former Sec. of State Clinton on the issue of trade in Wisconsin, but the Marquette poll shows that by a margin of 48%-42%, Wisconsin Democratic voters say that trade agreements have been an overall good thing. The degree of support for trade agreements suggests that the Sanders campaign might be misfiring with Badger State voters on trade.