Political Primaries Update for the Week of May 30th

 

What the latest polls show us.

SUMMARY

The biggest news from the past week is that Donald Trump clinched the nomination for GOP candidate.

This will be a slow week due to the Memorial Day holiday.

However, the June 7th primaries are now in view and if the polls hold true, as listed below, here is what to expect:

 

GOP – 1,237 delegates minimum to win.
Trump – approximately 1541 delegates.

 

DEM – 2,382 delegates needed to win.
Clinton – approximately 2,061 delegates, 585 super delegates
Sanders – approximately 1,875 delegates, 101 super delegates

 

This will not be a slam-dunk for Mrs. Clinton. Her numbers are not good for the remaining primaries. She needs big wins in California and New Jersey, but she probably will lose both. Instead, she will squeak by to the nomination. Then again, there is the recent report from the State Department’s Office of Inspector General saying she didn’t have permission to use her private e-mail server. Such news couldn’t come at a worse time for her.

 

CURRENT DELEGATE COUNT –

 

 

DEM – 2,382 delegates needed to win
1769 – Hillary Clinton (541 super delegates
1499 – Bernie Sanders (43 super delegates)

 

 

GOP – 1,237 delegates needed to win
1239 – Donald Trump
559 – Ted Cruz
165 – Marco Rubio
161 – John Kasich

 

POLL ANALYSIS FOR WEEK OF: MAY 30TH

 

 

SATURDAY, JUNE 4TH

 

 

Virgin Islands

 

 

DEM – 7 delegates (5 super delegates) (closed)
(no data available)

 

 

GOP-
(no contest)

 

 

SUNDAY, JUNE 5TH

 

 

Puerto Rico

 

 

DEM – 60 delegates (7 super delegates) (open)
(no data available)

 

 

GOP-
(no contest)

 

 

POLL ANALYSIS FOR WEEK OF: JUNE 6TH

 

 

TUESDAY, JUNE 7TH

 

 

California

 

 

DEM – 475 delegates (71 super delegates) (semi-closed)
Sanders up +24.94 points
Clinton up +8.0 points

 

 

GOP – 172 delegates (winner take all)
Trump up +39.43 points
Trump up +26.4 points

 

 

Montana

 

 

DEM – 21 delegates (6 super delegates) (open)
Sanders up +43.08 points
GOP – 27 delegates (winner take all)
Trump up +44.38 points

 

New Jersey

 

 

DEM – 126 delegates (16 super delegates) (closed)
Sanders up +24.94 points

 

 

GOP – 51 delegates (winner take all)
Trump up +38.23 points

 

 

New Mexico

 

 

DEM – 34 delegates (9 super delegates) (closed)
Sanders up +25.15 points
GOP – 24 delegates (proportional)
Trump up +28.28 points

 

 

South Dakota

 

 

DEM – 18 delegates (5 super delegates) (semi-open)
Sanders up +7.44points

 

GOP – 29 delegates (winner take all)
Trump up +25.53 points

 

 

Keep the Faith!

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Tim Bryce is a freelance writer and management consultant located in the Tampa Bay area of Florida. As an avid writer and speaker, Tim discusses everything from business and management, to politics and morality, to systems and technology, and our ever changing world.