Political Primaries Update for the Week of May 2nd

@timbryce

What the latest polls show us.

SUMMARY

The Indiana GOP Primary is a “must win” for Sen. Cruz, yet Donald Trump will likely take it. If so, this will be the death null for the Cruz campaign. Trump is also looking strong in the ensuing Nebraska and West Virginia Primaries.

Mrs. Clinton still has to wait to clinch the Democratic nomination as Sen. Sanders will likely win Indiana, as well as West Virginia after that.

 

CURRENT DELEGATE COUNT –

 

DEM – 2,382 delegates needed to win
2165 – Hillary Clinton
1357 – Bernie Sanders
GOP – 1,237 delegates needed to win
996 – Donald Trump
565 – Ted Cruz
153 – John Kasich
POLL ANALYSIS FOR WEEK OF: MAY 2ND
TUESDAY, MAY 3RD
INDIANA
DEM– 83 delegates (9 super)
Sanders up +38.82 points
RealClear: Clinton up +6.2

 

 

GOP– 57 delegates (winner take all)
Trump up +17.41 points
RealClear:  Trump up +4.1

 

 

FRIDAY, MAY 7TH
GUAM
DEM (Caucus)- 7 delegates (5 super)
?????
GOP- (no activity)

 

 

POLL ANALYSIS FOR WEEK OF: MAY 9TH
TUESDAY, MAY 10TH
NEBRASKA
DEM-
(no contest)
GOP– 36 delegates (winner take all)
Trump up +19.67 points

 

 

WEST VIRGINIA
DEM– 29 delegates (8 super)
Sanders up +37.47 points
GOP– 34 delegates (direct election)
Trump up +30.54 points

 

 

Keep the Faith!

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Tim Bryce is a freelance writer and management consultant located in the Tampa Bay area of Florida. As an avid writer and speaker, Tim discusses everything from business and management, to politics and morality, to systems and technology, and our ever changing world.