What the latest polls show us.
SUMMARY
This is the week where we see the “Winner take all” (delegates) primaries: Illinois, Florida, Missouri, and Ohio. North Carolina also is a major prize but it awards delegates proportionally as in earlier contests.
According to the polls, this should be another good week for Donald Trump who is looking strong in all of the primary polls. This could very well be the turning point in the race for the Republican nomination. Should Trump “run the table” in all of the primaries, he will be hard to catch, if not impossible.
The closest race will be in Ohio which, despite the polls, is too close to call. Trump will handily win Florida. The one wild card variable will be the recent turmoil at Trump’s Chicago and Dayton rallies. This will either bring people to his aid, and win Ohio, or turn on him.
In terms of the Democrats, Mrs. Clinton will do well but Illinois will be a lot tighter than the polls show. Next week, keep your eyes on Idaho as Sen. Sanders may pull off another upset.
CURRENT DELEGATE COUNT –
DEM – 2,382 delegates needed to win
1231 – Hillary Clinton
0576 – Bernie Sander
GOP – 1,238 delegates needed to win
460 – Donald Trump
370 – Ted Cruz
163 – Marco Rubio
063 – John Kasich
POLL ANALYSIS BY STATE FOR PRIMARIES ON TUESDAY, MARCH 15TH –
FLORIDA
DEM – 214 delegates
Clinton up +30.9 points
GOP – 99 delegates
Trump up +18.1 points
ILLINOIS
DEM – 156 delegates
Clinton up +13.7 points
GOP – 69 delegates
Trump up +9.0 points
MISSOURI
DEM – 71 delegates
Clinton up +7.0 points
GOP – 52 delegates
Trump up +7.0 points
NORTH CAROLINA
DEM – 107 delegates
Clinton up +20.6 points
GOP – 72 delegates
Trump up +11.8 points
OHIO
DEM – 143 delegates
Clinton up +17.8 points
GOP – 66 delegates
Kasich up +2.0 points
SATURDAY, MARCH 19TH
VIRGIN ISLANDS
DEM
(No caucus)
GOP – 9 delegates
(insufficient data)
NEXT WEEK: MARCH 21ST
The following primaries will be held on Tuesday, March 22nd. As of today, the polls show…
AMERICAN SAMOA (Republican Convention)
DEM
(No convention)
GOP – 9 delegates
(insufficient data)
ARIZONA
DEM – 85 delegates
(insufficient data)
GOP – 58 delegates
Trump up +18.75 points
IDAHO
DEM – 23 delegates
Sanders up +2 points
GOP
(No caucus)
UTAH
DEM – 37 delegates
Clinton up +7 points
GOP – 40 delegates
Dead even – too close to call
SATURDAY, MARCH 26TH
ALASKA
DEM – 60 delegates
Clinton up +3 points
GOP
(No caucus)
HAWAII
DEM – 34 delegates
(insufficient data)
GOP
(no caucus)
WASHINGTON
DEM – 118 delegates
(insufficient data)
GOP
(No caucus)
Keep the Faith!
