IOWA – Last night in the Iowa caucuses, the results didn’t turn out exactly as most had expected that they would. Instead of winning the contest as most pools had predicted, Donald Trump finished second to Ted Cruz and almost got beaten by Marco Rubio. Pundits have attributed this seriously to his failure to attend the final FOXNews debate and his lack of a good campaign structure on the ground in Iowa.
But there’s a much bigger here. Doesn’t really matter that trump lost in Iowa? Going into the New Hampshire primary, Donald Trump is much further ahead in the polls then he was in Iowa, and almost every other upcoming primary state has him with a strong lead as well. The question is, will what happens in Iowa stay in Iowa?
And furthermore, why are we paying attention to what happens in Iowa to begin with? It is simply a quirk of political history that Iowa is the first caucus state to begin with. It’s not representative of the country as a whole. It’s much more rural and much more white than the rest of America and frankly, is a poor choice to begin the political primary season. So why are we judging Donald Trump’s ability to gain the nomination by this state?
If we are settling things via coin toss? With that logic, we should just forgo the voting and coin toss from the start.