The Bernie Sanders hot streak will end tonight as Hillary Clinton will land the lion share of the delegates in today’s big New York primary. The former two tern senator from New York is likely to start her own winning streak as the race turns to the east and Clinton Country.
Meanwhile, Sanders is currently on a hot streak. He posted commanding victories in two of the three March 22 contests and then reeled off five straight statewide wins in the contests that followed: Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington on March 26; Wisconsin on April 5; and Wyoming on April 9.
Nate Silver and his FiveThirtyEight team give Sanders a 1 percent chance of pulling off the upset.
A loss on Tuesday would mean more than just an end to Sanders’ “momentum”; it also would tilt the delegate math even more in Clinton’s favor. According to the Associated Press estimates, Hillary enters Tuesday leading by 261 pledged delegates and by nearly 700 total when you factor in superdelegates.
After New York, there will be fewer than 1,500 pledged delegates still up for grabs. Clinton is favored in all five of next Tuesday’s big primaries headed by Pennsylvania and like it or not Sanders is running out of time.
There is no doubt that he has the money and the support to go all the way to the first Tuesday in June when both New Jersey and California will close out the 2016 Democratic primary season. Sanders has plenty of reasons to stay in the race and to force the party and Clinton to listen to him and his followers.
Tuesday, April 26
Connecticut – 28 Republican delegates, 70 Democratic, delegates awarded proportionally
Delaware – 16 Republican delegates, 31 Democratic, winner-take-all
Maryland – 38 Republican delegates, 118 Democratic, winner-take-all
Pennsylvania – 71 Republican delegates, 210 Democratic. Republican delegates are winner-take-all; Democratic delegates are awarded proportionally.
Rhode Island – 19 Republican delegates, 33 Democratic, delegates awarded proportionally
Tuesday, May 3
Indiana – 57 Republican delegates, 92 Democratic, winner-take-all
Saturday, May 7
Guam Democratic primary – 12 delegates
Tuesday, May 10
Nebraska Republican primary – 36 delegates
West Virginia – 37 Republican delegates, 34 Democratic
Tuesday, May 17
Kentucky Democratic primary – 61 delegates
Oregon primary – 28 Republican delegates, 72 Democratic, delegates awarded proportionally
Tuesday, May 24
Washington Republican primary – 44 delegates, delegates awarded proportionally
Saturday, June 4
Virgin Island Democratic caucus – 12 delegates
Sunday, June 5
Puerto Rico Democratic caucus – 67 delegates
Tuesday, June 7
California – 172 Republican delegates, 546 Democratic, delegates awarded proportionally
Montana – 27 Republican delegates, 27 Democratic, winner-take-all
New Jersey – 51 Republican delegates, 142 Democratic, winner-take-all
New Mexico – 24 Republican delegates, 43 Democratic delegates, delegates awarded proportionately
North Dakota Democratic caucus – 23 delegates
South Dakota – 29 Republican delegates, 25 Democratic, winner-take-all
Tuesday, June 14
District of Columbia Democratic caucus – 46 delegates
