Good news, bad news on Tropical Storm Erika.
The Bad News: Erika is tracking to make a direct hit on Florida by Monday at 2 am, making land in South Florida and traveling north.
The Good News: The storm will not evolve into a hurricane.
Next 48 Hours: The storm picked up a little more speed and continues to move west-northwest at 17 mph. Over the next 24 hours, the storm’s center will move over the Dominican Republic today, Turks and Caicos tonight and near central and northwestern Bahamas over the weekend.
Wind Speed: Maximum 50 mph
Hazards: Heavy, heavy rain. NOAA expects Erika to dump 4-8 inches with maximum amounts potentially as high as 12 inches across the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic/Haiti, Turks and Caicos and parts of the Bahamas. Since this area received heavy rainfall from Danny, over-saturated ground can produce flooding and mud slides.
Various Storm Track Models
TRACK THE STORM: Here is the latest on Tropical Storm #Erika http://t.co/klIkfAZaaO pic.twitter.com/JRl7VQ8boE
— Miami Herald (@MiamiHerald) August 27, 2015
Tropical Storm #Erika is still south of Puerto Rico, track & intensity. @RobMarciano is way ahead of it in Miami! pic.twitter.com/RCovA1G6qK
— Ginger Zee (@Ginger_Zee) August 28, 2015
Check out that track guidance spread at day 5-7. #Erika pic.twitter.com/jR7TgzklWc
— Brad Panovich (@wxbrad) August 27, 2015
ERIKA UPDATE: Significant changes in the forecast.Track shifted west and stays tropical storm w/ this update. #wral pic.twitter.com/nBsQ1iXTpm
— Aimee Wilmoth (@WRALAimee) August 28, 2015
The 11pm Thursday track for Erika. SHARE with your friends to give them the latest. this storm will have a tough Fri pic.twitter.com/6PnSIotwNB
— Steve Weagle (@SteveWeagleWPTV) August 28, 2015
On the latest track as of 5am, the center of Erika is forecast to impact south FL overnight on Monday. @wsvn pic.twitter.com/PoCEbOi4CM
— Vivian Gonzalez (@VivianGonzalez7) August 28, 2015
#Erika to head in “general direction” of #Florida. Unusually low confidence in track and intensity. Main threat. Rain pic.twitter.com/590ROkGoy5
— Paul Dellegatto⚡️FOX (@PaulFox13) August 28, 2015